But imagine you've got both a time bomb (set to go off in 4 hours) and a sniper aimed to kill you immediately if you make the wrong move?
In that situation, I'd go with the sniper. If only because I can make a lot of distance in four hours. :p Trouble is, that's not that accurate. A more accurate analogy would be a sniper you know about against someone who's trying to convince your best friend to stab you in the back. Like I said, we have the options on mafia pretty nailed down unless there's something twisty going on. You, on the other hand, have the opportunity in switching up the entire game.
The way I see it, I'm going to be searched tonight no matter what. By two people if we go with a vote for you. If I'm mafia, I'd be screwed. Since I'm not, if we hit wrong today, I'm potentially in trouble. If they go after Jam and you don't turn him, that leaves me without anyone to back up my innocence. And given Duckay's behavior and my voting patterns, I'd understand the town being less than trusting of me.
Consider that Smeghead and Robo don't just need the town to win, they need the town to win and still both be alive when that happens. This means that eliminating a killing role is by far their highest priority and Memo can't kill. So while removing him makes a town victory more likely it isn't likely increase the chances of the secret society surviving until the end.
I doubt either of them are huge targets anyways, unless the mafia has to play around Memo. Also, did it specify that they both had to survive? I remember Robo's said that he did, but I don't remember Smeg's. I guess I should go reread his post.
I certainly don't think that's a bigger risk than hoping that the rest of town can identify and lynch two wereweagles given how reluctant they've been to commit to votes today.
I'm honestly curious why you keep assuming there are two wereweagles. If that is the case, yeah, we're in a bad spot. But then again, unless you AND Duckay are part of that group, that means someone else is lying. I know it isn't me, and everyone else has been pretty convincing.
Plus, it seems like both of the mafia groups has some kind of power role, unless you or Duckay are just making up your results. If so... then, well, good job, because I believe both of them. Having three power roled mafia in an eight player game seems absurd to me. Especially given one of them is a full-on recruitment role.
At this point, it's likely too late anyways. I just hope that we don't lose because of this mistake.